Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.051791 0.061130 0.071590 0.084160 0.098848 0.115458 0.135658
2025-06-15 0.038078 0.050337 0.065601 0.085958 0.112348 0.145353 0.189722
2025-06-22 0.029143 0.042087 0.059589 0.084883 0.120394 0.168351 0.237906
2025-06-29 0.022967 0.035712 0.054168 0.082677 0.125417 0.186885 0.281734
2025-07-06 0.018454 0.030614 0.049311 0.079918 0.128489 0.202238 0.322262
2025-07-13 0.016018 0.028143 0.047799 0.081660 0.138141 0.228062 0.381347
2025-07-20 0.013879 0.025709 0.045845 0.082194 0.145653 0.251133 0.438672
2025-07-27 0.012168 0.023677 0.044174 0.082810 0.153158 0.274820 0.499642
2025-08-03 0.010846 0.022102 0.043011 0.084048 0.161744 0.301141 0.568087
2025-08-10 0.009912 0.021090 0.042691 0.086714 0.173145 0.333586 0.651145
2025-08-17 0.008474 0.018824 0.039628 0.083640 0.173213 0.345174 0.696790
2025-08-24 0.007543 0.017450 0.038106 0.083363 0.178607 0.367265 0.764846
2025-08-31 0.006633 0.015985 0.036228 0.082169 0.182174 0.386585 0.830597
2025-09-07 0.006103 0.015290 0.035885 0.084205 0.192776 0.421321 0.932009
2025-09-14 0.005415 0.014104 0.034279 0.083207 0.196665 0.442576 1.007696
2025-09-21 0.004745 0.012841 0.032301 0.081054 0.197649 0.457675 1.071798
2025-09-28 0.004134 0.011618 0.030225 0.078349 0.196963 0.468951 1.128643
2025-10-05 0.003842 0.011175 0.029981 0.080058 0.206926 0.505295 1.246682
2025-10-12 0.003520 0.010595 0.029306 0.080582 0.214059 0.535884 1.354777
2025-10-19 0.003236 0.010071 0.028698 0.081187 0.221460 0.567926 1.469994
2025-10-26 0.003006 0.009664 0.028339 0.082402 0.230584 0.605159 1.602134
2025-11-02 0.002851 0.009453 0.028486 0.085017 0.243737 0.653853 1.768429
2025-11-09 0.002511 0.008607 0.026714 0.082001 0.241290 0.662691 1.833828